In a significant move, new Bitcoin “whales”—investors holding large amounts of the cryptocurrency—have been accumulating Bitcoin in anticipation of a possible victory by former President Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. According to recent data, these large-scale investors have acquired over 1,800 Bitcoin (BTC), valued at over $132 million, withdrawing the assets across 11 newly created wallets.
This increase in Bitcoin holdings was flagged by the crypto intelligence platform Lookonchain in a post on X (formerly Twitter) on November 6, further highlighting the strong investor sentiment around Bitcoin. The move coincides with growing speculation that a Trump win in the election will boost risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
As early election results began showing a lead for Trump, Bitcoin surged to a new all-time high of over $75,000 on November 6, reinforcing investor confidence. While price volatility is expected to increase following the final election results, some analysts believe this could signal the start of a new bullish phase for Bitcoin.
Analysts from Bitfinex, for example, have predicted that Bitcoin could reach as high as $80,000 before the end of 2024. They attribute this optimistic forecast to the structure of the options market and the potential for a Republican victory. According to Bitfinex, the options market saw a significant increase in call open interest, particularly for options expiring on December 27, with an $80,000 strike price being the focal point.
Investor sentiment in the broader crypto market is also showing signs of optimism, as evidenced by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which has remained firmly above the 70 mark, signaling a state of “greed.” This index, which gauges the mood of the market based on multiple factors, began its upward climb on October 11, shortly after Trump gained a significant lead in political betting markets like Polymarket.
The odds on Polymarket flipped in Trump’s favor in early October, marking a dramatic shift from previous months. By October 12, Trump’s projected chances of winning had surpassed a 10-point lead over his competitors. This political shift, paired with Bitcoin’s growing popularity, is contributing to the overall sense of optimism in the crypto space.
As the 2024 election draws closer, analysts predict that Bitcoin’s price could experience increased volatility. However, many believe that this volatility is a necessary precursor to further price growth. With major technical levels like the $70,000 price point now serving as support, Bitcoin’s upward momentum seems poised for continuation, especially if Trump secures a victory.
The confluence of rising investor interest, political developments, and technical factors suggests that Bitcoin could experience a significant rally in the coming months, potentially reaching new heights in response to the political and market dynamics surrounding the 2024 election.
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