On November 11, 2024, shares of Coinbase, the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the United States, surged more than 20%, surpassing the $300 mark for the first time since 2021. This surge reflects a broader trend seen across US crypto stocks, which have seen massive gains following the victory of Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election. Many in the cryptocurrency industry believe Trump’s win signals a more favorable regulatory environment for digital assets, contributing to the bullish momentum in crypto-related stocks.
Coinbase’s stock price surge aligns with a growing sense of optimism in the market, with many speculating that the new administration will offer a more supportive stance toward the industry, especially compared to the previous regulatory challenges faced under the Biden administration.
Analysts believe that Coinbase could benefit significantly from the election results, especially given the exchange’s ongoing battles with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The SEC has been scrutinizing the company’s operations and its staking services, which led to prolonged legal disputes. Michael Miller, an equities researcher at Morningstar Inc., noted in a Nov. 7 research note that a Trump administration could ease regulatory pressure on Coinbase’s staking business and provide a tailwind for crypto prices overall.
“Less regulatory pressure from the SEC and a more permissive approach toward cryptocurrencies would likely benefit Coinbase and the broader industry,” Miller said. As a result, investors are betting on a more positive regulatory climate under the incoming leadership, which they believe could lead to higher profits for exchanges like Coinbase and other cryptocurrency firms.
In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong expressed confidence that the 2024 election results would be a turning point for the crypto industry. He called the victory a “full-throated support” for cryptocurrencies, saying, “The country fully repudiated the work of Senator Elizabeth Warren and Gary Gensler, who tried for years to unlawfully kill our industry.” Armstrong went on to predict that the upcoming Congress would be “the most pro-crypto Congress ever.”
This sentiment reflects a broader shift in the political climate, with Trump’s victory seen by many as a signal that crypto-friendly policies may soon take shape. Industry leaders hope that a more favorable regulatory framework will provide the stability needed for long-term growth in the cryptocurrency sector.
Coinbase’s third-quarter earnings report, released on October 30, 2024, highlighted continued strong performance, with the company reporting $1.2 billion in revenue and a $75 million profit. Despite a challenging regulatory environment, Coinbase has continued to invest in expanding its services and infrastructure, particularly in the areas of stablecoins and layer-2 scaling solutions.
In its shareholder letter, Coinbase emphasized the progress it had made in advancing its mission of bringing one billion users on-chain. Notably, Coinbase has been integrating stablecoins across its product suite and expanding the capabilities of its Base network, a layer-2 scaling solution designed to increase transaction speed and reduce costs on the Ethereum blockchain.
These initiatives demonstrate Coinbase’s commitment to staying ahead of the curve and positioning itself as a leader in the cryptocurrency ecosystem, even as it faces regulatory challenges.
Coinbase was not the only cryptocurrency firm to benefit from the Trump victory. On November 5, 2024, Galaxy Digital, a major cryptocurrency trading firm led by Michael Novogratz, experienced its biggest trading day of the year. Novogratz stated that the company’s operations were “operating at full bore,” citing increased trading volume and interest from both U.S. and international counterparties.
“We’re seeing a major surge in activity across the board — from trading to lending to derivatives,” Novogratz said in an interview with Bloomberg. He described the Trump win as “an affirmation of everything we’ve been working for,” signaling optimism in the market as the new administration’s policies begin to take shape.
The victory of Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election has sparked renewed optimism among cryptocurrency investors and firms. With Coinbase and other major crypto players like Galaxy Digital reporting strong performance, the market is bracing for potential changes in the regulatory landscape that could benefit the industry.
As Coinbase pushes forward with its mission to onboard more users and expand its product offerings, the firm and others in the space hope that the pro-crypto stance of the incoming administration will provide the regulatory clarity and support needed for continued growth.
The election results, combined with Bitcoin’s price surge and the strong financial performance of leading crypto firms, suggest that 2024 could be a transformative year for the industry. With a more favorable political environment, the cryptocurrency market could see even greater mainstream adoption and investment in the months to come.
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